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Championship header 2

League Two

Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Stevenage

Crawley
1 - 2
Stevenage

Nadesan (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Roberts (24'), Norris (85' pen.)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Stevenage.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two

Stevenage

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Harrogate
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawStevenage
31.46% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)26.32% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)42.22% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 52.1% (0.182 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (0.245 0.25)52.42% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (0.212 0.21)74.1% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.08% (0.075000000000003 0.08)30.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (0.085999999999999 0.09)67.21% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (0.18300000000001 0.18)24.58% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (0.254 0.25)59.07% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 31.46%
    Stevenage 42.22%
    Draw 26.31%
Crawley TownDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.35% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 31.46%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 10.66% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.48% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 42.22%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Crawley
2-2
Stevenage
Nichols (34', 46')
Tilley (61')
Read (80'), Cuthbert (90+2')
Clements (37')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Stevenage
2-1
Crawley
Taylor (29'), Norris (73')
Nichols (45+1')
Tilley (68'), Frost (77')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
3-3
Crawley
Norris (21' pen., 74'), Read (81')
Prosser (53')
Francomb (24'), Vancooten (80' og.), Powell (90+2')
McNerney (77')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Crawley
0-1
Stevenage

Craig (27'), Nichols (60'), Dallison (81')
Osborne (83')
Norris (37'), Pett (47'), Prosser (60'), Wildin (69'), Lines (73'), Coker (90+2')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Crawley
2-0
Stevenage
Lubala (21'), Nadesan (90')
Camara (81')

Wildin (65'), (89')