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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Stevenage |
31.46% ( -0.07) | 26.32% ( -0.07) | 42.22% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 52.1% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.58% ( 0.25) | 52.42% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.9% ( 0.21) | 74.1% ( -0.21) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% ( 0.08) | 30.92% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.78% ( 0.09) | 67.21% ( -0.08) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.42% ( 0.18) | 24.58% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.93% ( 0.25) | 59.07% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.46% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 60 | 53 | 7 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
8 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 67 | 65 | 2 | 67 |
9 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 63 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 11 | 11 | 22 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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