League Two

League Two | Gameweek 9

Sep 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
1 - 0
Newport

Gilbey (48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the League Two clash between Stevenage and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Tranmere Rovers	7	0	7
17	Newport County	7	-1	7
18	Stockport County	7	-2	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 35.75%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Newport County
35.75% ( -0.17)	28.67% ( 0.02)	35.58% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 45.81% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.31% (

-0.05)

60.69% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.24% (

-0.04)

80.76% (

0.04)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.74% (

-0.13)

32.26% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.24% (

-0.15)

68.76% (

0.16)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62% (

0.07)

32.37% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11% (

0.08)

68.89% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 35.74%

Newport County 35.57%

Draw 28.66%

Stevenage	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.74%	1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.66%	0-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.57%