Home > Football > League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Bradford City | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 | Harrogate Town | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Colchester United | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 19 | Newport County | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Gillingham | 5 | -6 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 33.89% ( | 27.43% ( | 38.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.75% ( | 56.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.71% ( | 77.29% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( | 31.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.44% ( | 67.56% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% ( | 28.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.02% ( | 63.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 3-2 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.89% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0-0 @ 8.82% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0-2 @ 7.04% ( 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.67% |