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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Newport County

Harrogate
0 - 4
Newport

FT(HT: 0-4)
Bogle (4', 44'), Ramsay (9' og.), Nevers (22')
Drysdale (47'), Waite (51')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Newport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
33.89% (0.486 0.49)27.43% (0.102 0.1)38.68% (-0.59 -0.59)
Both teams to score 49.34% (-0.226 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.75% (-0.326 -0.33)56.25% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.71% (-0.265 -0.27)77.29% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (0.158 0.16)31.22% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (0.183 0.18)67.56% (-0.184 -0.18)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)28.27% (0.491 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (-0.626 -0.63)63.98% (0.625 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 33.89%
    Newport County 38.67%
    Draw 27.43%
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.056 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.98% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 33.89%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.82% (0.108 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 11.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.04% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.67%

Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Newport
4-0
Harrogate
Demetriou (8' pen.), Telford (43', 49'), Baker-Richardson (55')
Cooper (22'), Norman (47')

Falkingham (8'), Armstrong (20'), Diarra (40')
Sep 10, 2021 7.45pm
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Harrogate
2-1
Newport
March (34'), Martin (66')
March (44'), Burrell (82')
Gambin (17')
Shephard (73')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Newport
2-1
Harrogate
Amond (30'), Cooper (88')
Smith (44')
Kerry (14'), Falkingham (23'), Jones (75')
Falkingham (37')
rhs 2.0


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