EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
0 - 1
Stockport

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jennings (53' pen.)
Croasdale (39'), Brown (70'), Hippolyte (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Harrogate Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Crewe 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Doncaster Rovers	2	1	4
11	Harrogate Town	2	0	3
12	Gillingham	2	-1	3

Stockport County

Last Six:

Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Hartlepool United	2	-4	1
21	Stockport County	2	-2	0
22	Rochdale	2	-2	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Stockport County
30.02% ( 2.96)	23.86% ( 0.84)	46.12% ( -3.79)

Both teams to score 59.58% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.66% (

-1.93)

42.34% (

1.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.26% (

-1.95)

64.74% (

1.96)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17% (

1.05)

26.83% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.87% (

1.36)

62.13% (

-1.36)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.43% (

-2.19)

18.57% (

2.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.16% (

-3.83)

49.84% (

3.83)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 30.02%

Stockport County 46.12%

Draw 23.86%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Stockport County
2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.52) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.72) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.59) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.02%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.42) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.54) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.54) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.41) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.37) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.22) Other @ 3.46% Total : 46.12%