Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.