Exeter City
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
St James Park
Newport County

Exeter
1 - 2
Newport

Chauke (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zimba (57'), Bogle (82')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Exeter City and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

Last Six:
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Exeter
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One

Newport County

Last Six:
Last Game: Harrogate 0-4 Newport
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawNewport County
40.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.05%33.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 53.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (0.0010000000000048 0)50.69% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)72.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)59.47% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (0.00099999999999056 0)28.52% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)64.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 40.16%
    Newport County 33.79%
    Draw 26.05%
Exeter CityDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 40.16%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.9%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 5.58%
1-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.79%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Newport
0-1
Exeter

Demetriou (71'), Willmott (83'), Norman (90+4')
Dieng (72')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Newport
Jay (22'), Nombe (55')
Daniel (5'), Grounds (90+6')
Willmott (12'), Baker-Richardson (28')
Baker-Richardson (44')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Exeter
0-0
Newport

Taylor (74')

Sheehan (74'), Collins (83')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Newport
1-1
Exeter
Telford (88')
Bowman (22')
Hartridge (9'), Bowman (45')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Exeter
1-0
Newport
Martin (14')
Bowman (45'), Sweeney (94'), Williams (95'), Taylor (95')

Labadie (45'), Abrahams (58'), Haynes (95'), Matt (95')