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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 41.78% | 26.24% | 31.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.08% | 51.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.33% | 73.66% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% | 24.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.93% | 59.07% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% ( | 30.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.51% ( | 66.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 2.08% Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.98% |