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Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Crawley Town

Doncaster
4 - 1
Crawley

Olowu (40'), Miller (59' pen., 67'), Hurst (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tilley (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-2 Crawley
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawCrawley Town
41.78%26.24%31.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 52.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08%51.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33%73.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42%24.58% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93%59.07% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)66.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 41.78%
    Crawley Town 31.98%
    Draw 26.23%
Doncaster RoversDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.34%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.78%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.98%

How you voted: Doncaster vs Crawley

Doncaster Rovers
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Crawley Town
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Crawley
0-0
Doncaster

McNerney (54'), Smith (55'), Boldewijn (83'), Young (93')

Baudry (63'), Alcock (93')
Aug 13, 2016 3pm
Doncaster
1-1
Crawley
Coppinger (49')
Houghton (83')
Collins (26')
Davey (89'), Smith (92'), Blackman (95')
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Crawley
0-5
Doncaster

Edwards (26'), Wordsworth (62')
Walsh (67')
Butler (38'), Wellens (56'), Tyson (64'), Forrester (73'), Main (91')
Stevens (20'), Tyson (67')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Feb 18, 2013 7.45pm
Crawley
1-1
Doncaster
Simpson (25')
Clarke (84'), Connolly (90'), Proctor (90')
Husband (43')
McCombe (45'), Fowler (45'), Paynter (68'), Husband (86')