League Two

League Two | Gameweek 10

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Keepmoat Stadium

Doncaster
0 - 1
Swindon

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wakeling (60')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Bradford City	8	4	14
7	Doncaster Rovers	8	0	14
8	Mansfield Town	8	3	13

Swindon Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Swindon 3-2 Sutton
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Crewe Alexandra	8	1	12
11	Swindon Town	8	1	11
12	Sutton United	8	0	11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Swindon Town
22.84% ( -0.75)	24.64% ( -0.27)	52.52% ( 1.02)

Both teams to score 50.59% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.81% (

0.38)

51.19% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.97% (

0.33)

73.03% (

-0.33)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.82% (

-0.48)

37.18% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.03% (

-0.48)

73.97% (

0.49)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.54% (

0.56)

19.46% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.69% (

0.91)

51.31% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

Doncaster Rovers 22.84%

Swindon Town 52.51%

Draw 24.64%

Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.7% Total : 22.84%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.64%	0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.92% Total : 52.51%