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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Sutton United

Swindon
3 - 2
Sutton

Shade (35'), Williams (38'), Wakeling (90+2')
Clayton (27'), Lavinier (68')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Randall (4', 42')
Bugiel (31'), Barden (82')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
46.68% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 25.86%27.46%
Both teams to score 51.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.59%52.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.91%74.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)55.96%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.14%33.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.47%70.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 46.68%
    Sutton United 27.46%
    Draw 25.85%
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 8.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.23%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.46%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Swindon
2-1
Sutton
Davison (14'), McKirdy (49')
Reed (35'), Iandolo (63'), Davison (70')
Reed (90+3')
Kizzi (28')
Boldewijn (49'), Rowe (85')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Sutton
1-2
Swindon
Beautyman (39' pen.)
John (24'), Bugiel (60'), Barden (90+6')
Reed (17'), Williams (31')
McKirdy (87'), Crichlow (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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