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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Sutton United

Swindon
3 - 2
Sutton

Shade (35'), Williams (38'), Wakeling (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Randall (4', 42')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Sutton United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
46.68% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)25.86%27.46%
Both teams to score 51.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.59%52.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.91%74.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)55.96%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.14%33.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.47%70.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 46.68%
    Sutton United 27.46%
    Draw 25.85%
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 8.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.23%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.46%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Swindon
2-1
Sutton
Davison (14'), McKirdy (49')
Reed (35'), Iandolo (63'), Davison (70')
Reed (90+3')
Kizzi (28')
Boldewijn (49'), Rowe (85')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Sutton
1-2
Swindon
Beautyman (39' pen.)
John (24'), Bugiel (60'), Barden (90+6')
Reed (17'), Williams (31')
McKirdy (87'), Crichlow (90+1')