Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
51.57% ( -0.28)	23.88% ( -0.02)	24.55% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 54.91% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.58% (

0.35)

46.42% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.3% (

0.33)

68.7% (

-0.33)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.99% (

0.02)

18% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.12% (

0.04)

48.87% (

-0.04)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.97% (

0.44)

33.03% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.38% (

0.49)

69.62% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 51.56%

Chelsea Under-21s 24.55%

Draw 23.88%

Sutton United	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.56%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.88%	0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 24.55%