EFL Trophy
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Tope Fadahunsi 5' goal
  • Rob Milsom 86' yellowcard
  • Alistair Smith 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Brooking 11'
  • yellowcard Cesare Casadei 76'
  • redcard Cesare Casadei 85'
  • yellowcard Alfie Gilchrist 90'+5'

Sutton United vs Chelsea Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result

Sutton United 51.57% (-0.28)
Draw 23.88% (-0.02)
Chelsea Under-21s 24.55% (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.91% (+0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.58% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 46.42% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 31.3% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 68.7% (-0.33)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 81.99% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 18% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 51.12% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 48.87% (-0.05)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 66.97% (+0.45)
Under 0.5 33.03% (-0.45)
Over 1.5 30.38% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 69.62% (-0.49)

Score analysis

Sutton United 51.56%
Draw 23.88%
Chelsea Under-21s 24.55%
Sutton United
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.15)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.07% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.37% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 51.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.36% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.88%
Chelsea Under-21s
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.26% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 3.65% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.31% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.98% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.35% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 24.55%