Arsenal U21s
4 - 1
Chelsea U21s

Olayinka (10'), Biereth (42'), Hutchinson (61'), Flores (67')
Ogungbo (45')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Wareham (38')
Baker (65'), Nunn (84')
Mbuyamba (35')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Third Round clash between Arsenal Under-21s and Chelsea Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 90.64%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 2.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (10.46%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.02%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 2-1 (0.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
2.79%	6.58%	90.64%

Both teams to score 45.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

80.68%

19.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

62.83%

37.17%

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.15%

53.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.82%

87.18%

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.57%

2.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.52%

11.48%

Score Analysis

Arsenal Under-21s 2.79%

Chelsea Under-21s 90.63%

Draw 6.58%

Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.86% Total : 2.79%	1-1 @ 3.02% 2-2 @ 1.74% 0-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.52% Total : 6.58%	0-3 @ 11.25% 0-4 @ 10.46% 0-2 @ 9.07% 0-5 @ 7.79% 1-3 @ 6.96% 1-4 @ 6.48% 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-1 @ 4.87% 0-6 @ 4.83% 1-5 @ 4.82% 1-6 @ 2.99% 0-7 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 2.01% 1-7 @ 1.59% 2-5 @ 1.49% 0-8 @ 1.2% 2-6 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.55% Total : 90.63%