Newport
3 - 4
Arsenal U21s

Greenidge (19'), Abraham (62'), Fisher (68')
Woodiwiss (35'), Missilou (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hutchinson (33'), Oulad M'Hand (53'), Olayinka (86'), Sagoe Jr (90+2')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Newport County and Arsenal Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 12.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
69.18%	18.76%	12.06%

Both teams to score 47.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.81%

44.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.43%

66.57%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.35%

11.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.31%

36.69%

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.58%

46.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.96%

82.04%

Score Analysis

Newport County 69.17%

Arsenal Under-21s 12.06%

Draw 18.76%

Newport County	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
2-0 @ 12.49% 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 6.87% 4-0 @ 4.82% 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.64% 5-0 @ 2.07% 5-1 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.41% Total : 69.17%	1-1 @ 8.92% 0-0 @ 5.41% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.75% Total : 18.76%	0-1 @ 4.15% 1-2 @ 3.42% 0-2 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.95% Total : 12.06%