EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
1 - 2
Doncaster

Vernam (49')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hurst (72'), Long (84')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Lincoln City and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

Last Six:

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-6 Lincoln
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Derby County	9	0	14
8	Lincoln City	9	0	13
9	Cambridge United	9	-3	13

Doncaster Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Swindon Town	9	2	14
12	Doncaster Rovers	9	-1	14
13	Carlisle United	8	2	13

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
45.99% ( -0.11)	24.84% ( 0.02)	29.16% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 55.68% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.78% (

-0.04)

47.22% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.55% (

-0.04)

69.45% (

0.04)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.41% (

-0.06)

20.59% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.88% (

-0.1)

53.13% (

0.1)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.12% (

0.05)

29.88% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.03% (

0.05)

65.97% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 45.99%

Doncaster Rovers 29.16%

Draw 24.84%

Lincoln City	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 45.99%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 29.16%