League One

League One | Gameweek 9

Sep 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
2 - 0
Derby

Diamond (12' pen.), House (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the League One clash between Lincoln City and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

Last Six:

Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Lincoln
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Accrington Stanley	7	-2	7
20	Lincoln City	7	-5	7
21	Forest Green Rovers	7	-9	7

Derby County

Last Six:

Last Game: Derby 2-3 Plymouth
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Bolton Wanderers	7	2	11
9	Derby County	7	1	11
10	Barnsley	7	1	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Derby County
30.22% ( 0.66)	26.92% ( 0.22)	42.86% ( -0.87)

Both teams to score 49.74% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.79% (

-0.58)

55.21% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.56% (

-0.48)

76.44% (

0.48)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.77% (

0.19)

33.23% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.16% (

0.2)

69.84% (

-0.2)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.5% (

-0.7)

25.5% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.65% (

-0.96)

60.35% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 30.22%

Derby County 42.86%

Draw 26.91%

Lincoln City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.22%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.86%