League One

League One | Gameweek 7

Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 3
Plymouth

Collins (26'), Mendez-Laing (38')
McGoldrick (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Whittaker (56'), Cosgrove (77', 90')
Mumba (34')

Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Plymouth Argyle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

Last Six:

Last Game: Derby 3-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Plymouth Argyle	6	3	12
6	Derby County	6	2	11
7	Cambridge United	6	-1	10

Plymouth Argyle

Last Six:

Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 Bristol Rovers (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Peterborough United	6	7	12
5	Plymouth Argyle	6	3	12
6	Derby County	6	2	11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
50.6% ( -1.47)	24.32% ( 0.24)	25.08% ( 1.24)

Both teams to score 54.05% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.18% (

0.13)

47.82% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30% (

0.12)

70% (

-0.12)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09% (

-0.52)

18.91% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.59% (

-0.88)

50.41% (

0.88)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.66% (

1.14)

33.34% (

-1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.04% (

1.23)

69.96% (

-1.23)

Score Analysis

Derby County 50.6%

Plymouth Argyle 25.08%

Draw 24.32%

Derby County	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.6%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.08%