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Championship header 2

League One

Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Derby logo

Fleetwood
0 - 0
Derby


Rooney (85')
FT

Hourihane (60')
Coverage of the League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Derby County

Last Six:
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-0 Derby
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawDerby County
26.35% (0.116 0.12)25.69% (0.483 0.48)47.96% (-0.6 -0.6)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-1.374 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (-1.848 -1.85)52.46% (1.848 1.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (-1.61 -1.61)74.14% (1.61 1.61)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (-0.895 -0.89)34.79% (0.894 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (-0.956 -0.96)71.52% (0.95599999999999 0.96)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (-1.022 -1.02)21.88% (1.021 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86% (-1.574 -1.57)55.14% (1.573 1.57)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 26.35%
    Derby County 47.95%
    Draw 25.69%
Fleetwood TownDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.388 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.45% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.24% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 26.35%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.542 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 11.56% (0.48 0.48)
1-2 @ 9.28% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-3 @ 4.45% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 47.95%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Derby

Fleetwood Town
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Derby County
80.0%
5