Plymouth Argyle
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Home Park
Bristol Rovers

Plymouth
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Hardie (58' pen.)
Whittaker (37')
FT
(aet)
Loft (50')
Saunders (60'), Rossiter (88')
Plymouth win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Plymouth Argyle and Bristol Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%).

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol Rovers
42.52% (-0.552 -0.55)24.94% (0.378 0.38)32.54% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 57.06% (-1.232 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.82% (-1.642 -1.64)46.18% (1.645 1.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.52% (-1.567 -1.57)68.48% (1.571 1.57)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (-0.944 -0.94)21.72% (0.948 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (-1.466 -1.47)54.88% (1.468 1.47)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (-0.684 -0.68)27.11% (0.688 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.5% (-0.904 -0.9)62.5% (0.90799999999999 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 42.52%
    Bristol Rovers 32.54%
    Draw 24.94%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 8.99% (0.366 0.37)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.381 0.38)
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.155 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 32.54%

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Ennis (7', 45')
Ennis (18'), Opoku (39'), Lewis (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Dec 17, 2019 7.30pm
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Plymouth
Sercombe (74')
Upson (8'), Clarke (81'), Kilgour (84')
Menayese (95')
Sarcevic (84' pen.)
Grant (64'), Telford (90')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Plymouth
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Plymouth win 5-3 on penalties
Moore (40')
Nichols (30')
Ogogo (14')