League Two Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Daniel Sweeney 90' goal

Stevenage vs Harrogate Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
Bradford 3 - 0 Stevenage
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jordan Roberts

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
Stockport 0 - 0 Harrogate
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Luke Armstrong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 54.37%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result

Stevenage 54.37% (+0.95)
Draw 25.02% (-0.39)
Harrogate Town 20.61% (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.65% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.07% (+0.82)
Under 2.5 54.92% (-0.82)
Over 3.5 23.79% (+0.68)
Under 3.5 76.21% (-0.68)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 79.82% (+0.71)
Under 0.5 20.18% (-0.71)
Over 1.5 47.52% (+1.13)
Under 1.5 52.48% (-1.13)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5 58.45% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 41.55% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 21.96% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 78.04% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Stevenage 54.36%
Draw 25.01%
Harrogate Town 20.61%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 13.41% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 10.73% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.43% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 5.73% (+0.20)
3-1 @ 5.03% (+0.16)
4-0 @ 2.29% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.21% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.01% (+0.11)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 54.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.27)
2-2 @ 4.14% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.01%
Harrogate Town
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.27)
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 20.61%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 29
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jake Reeves 9' goal
  • Luke Norris 21' goal
  • Luke Prosser 55' yellowcard
  • Jake Taylor 80' goal
League Two Gameweek 9
Sep 25, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Hall 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Cuthbert 64'
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 69'
  • yellowcard Luther Wildin 72'
League Two Gameweek 34
Mar 6, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Elliott List 52' goal
  • Ben Coker 69' yellowcard
  • Romain Vincelot 88' yellowcard
  • Elliot Osborne 90' yellowcard
League Two Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2020 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • Josh Falkingham 87' yellowcard
  • Ryan Fallowfield 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arthur Read 45'
  • yellowcard Elliott List 57'