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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 54.37%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Harrogate Town |
54.37% ( 0.94) | 25.02% ( -0.38) | 20.61% ( -0.56) |
Both teams to score 46.65% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.07% ( 0.82) | 54.92% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.79% ( 0.67) | 76.21% ( -0.67) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.82% ( 0.71) | 20.18% ( -0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.52% ( 1.12) | 52.48% ( -1.12) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.45% ( -0.12) | 41.55% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.96% ( -0.11) | 78.04% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 13.41% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.51% Total : 54.36% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 60 | 53 | 7 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
8 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 67 | 65 | 2 | 67 |
9 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 63 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 11 | 11 | 22 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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