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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Colchester United |
| 52.94% ( | 26.19% | 20.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.21% ( | 58.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.7% ( | 79.3% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% | 22.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% | 55.83% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.5% ( | 43.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.29% ( | 79.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 14.56% 2-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 4-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.93% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.09% 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.05% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.98% Total : 20.86% |