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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Newport County

Swindon
1 - 0
Newport

Jephcott (51')
Gladwin (13'), Darcy (19'), Blake-Tracy (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lewis (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Northampton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Newport
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Newport County

 Swindon have started to turn their form around recently and will be eager to put right the defeat against Northampton on Saturday, but we think Newport will be good enough to get a point at the County Ground, especially given their win at league leaders Leyton Orient on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
50.51% (3.011 3.01) 25.23% (-0.412 -0.41) 24.26% (-2.605 -2.61)
Both teams to score 50.39% (-1.114 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77% (-0.309 -0.31)52.23% (0.305 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.266 -0.27)73.94% (0.262 0.26)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (1.171 1.17)20.69% (-1.175 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (1.815 1.82)53.29% (-1.819 -1.82)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.54% (-2.38 -2.38)36.46% (2.376 2.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75% (-2.477 -2.48)73.24% (2.474 2.47)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 50.5%
    Newport County 24.26%
    Draw 25.23%
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.56 0.56)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.75 0.75)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.264 0.26)
3-0 @ 4.92% (0.553 0.55)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.169 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.278 0.28)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 50.5%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.223 -0.22)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.411 -0.41)
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.514 -0.51)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.477 -0.48)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.258 -0.26)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 24.26%

How you voted: Swindon vs Newport

Swindon Town
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Newport County
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Newport
Conroy (90' og.)
Lewis (28'), Azaz (90+1')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Newport
1-2
Swindon
Telford (74')
Demetriou (32'), Dolan (62')
Azaz (73' og.), Payne (88')
Gladwin (69'), Reed (82')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Swindon
1-0
Newport
Lyden (57')
Minturn (19')

Missilou (21'), Hylton (53'), Upson (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Newport
2-0
Swindon
Sheehan (1'), Matt (49')
Matt (79'), King (90')

Grant (28'), Jaiyesimi (42'), Yates (90')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Swindon
0-2
Newport
O'Brien (38'), Matt (82')
O'Brien (55')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15BarrowBarrow196581818023
16Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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