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Swindon Town vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.
Result
Swindon Town
50.51%
▲
(+3.02)
Draw
25.23%
▼
(-0.42)
Newport County
24.26%
▼
(-2.61)
Both Teams to Score:
50.39%
▼
(-1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.77%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 2.5
52.23%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 3.5
26.06%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 3.5
73.94%
▲
(+0.27)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5
79.31%
▲
(+1.18)
Under 0.5
20.69%
▼
(-1.18)
Over 1.5
46.71%
▲
(+1.82)
Under 1.5
53.29%
▼
(-1.82)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
63.54%
▼
(-2.38)
Under 0.5
36.46%
▲
(+2.38)
Over 1.5
26.75%
▼
(-2.48)
Under 1.5
73.24%
▲
(+2.48)
Score analysis
Swindon Town
50.5%
Draw
25.23%
Newport County
24.26%
Swindon Town
1-0
@
11.88%
▲
(+0.57)
2-1 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.75)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.27)
3-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.56)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.17)
4-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.28)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 50.5%
2-1 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.75)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.27)
3-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.56)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.17)
4-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.28)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 50.5%
Draw
1-1
@
11.99%
▼
(-0.20)
0-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.23%
0-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.23%
Newport County
0-1
@
7.61%
▼
(-0.42)
1-2 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.52)
0-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.48)
1-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.32)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.52)
0-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.48)
1-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.32)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 24.26%
Aaron Lewis
28'