League Two

League Two | Gameweek 8

Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The County Ground

Swindon
1 - 0
Newport

Jephcott (51')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Northampton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Newport
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Newport County
50.51% ( 3.01)	25.23% ( -0.41)	24.26% ( -2.61)

Both teams to score 50.39% (

-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.77% (

-0.31)

52.23% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.06% (

-0.27)

73.94% (

0.26)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.31% (

1.17)

20.69% (

-1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.71% (

1.82)

53.29% (

-1.82)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.54% (

-2.38)

36.46% (

2.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.75% (

-2.48)

73.24% (

2.47)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 50.5%

Newport County 24.26%

Draw 25.23%

Swindon Town	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.75) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.55) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.28) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 50.5%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.51) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.26) Other @ 1.83% Total : 24.26%