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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Northampton Town

Swindon
1 - 2
Northampton

Williams (61')
Reed (57'), Blake-Tracy (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fox (68'), Pinnock (88')
Sherring (62'), Guthrie (62')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Swindon
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two

Northampton Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, September 24 at 2pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNorthampton Town
44% (0.083000000000006 0.08) 26.66% (0.023 0.02) 29.34% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 50.06% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.42% (-0.133 -0.13)54.58% (0.135 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-0.109 -0.11)75.92% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)24.65% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)59.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)33.55% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (-0.161 -0.16)70.2% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 43.99%
    Northampton Town 29.34%
    Draw 26.65%
Swindon TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.58% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.99%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.34%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Swindon
5-2
Northampton
McKirdy (28', 51', 55', 66'), Simpson (60')
Hunt (49'), Kesler (88')
Hoskins (37'), Guthrie (50')
McWilliams (18'), Sowerby (34'), Koiki (62')
Sep 18, 2021 2pm
Northampton
1-1
Swindon
Horsfall (83')
Rose (43'), Sowerby (44'), Hoskins (68'), McWilliams (84')
Simpson (57')
Conroy (52')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Northampton
Twine (45+2'), Pitman (69')
Palmer (51'), Grounds (67')
Watson (26')
Mills (64'), Morris (75')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
2-1
Swindon
Missilou (7'), Rose (28')
Bolger (51'), Missilou (62'), Hoskins (86'), Smith (90+1')
Smith (76' pen.)
Jaiyesimi (65'), Grounds (81')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
0-1
Swindon

Goode (59'), Oliver (63'), Jones (68')
Lyden (77')
Doyle (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
> League Two Full Table


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