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Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Northampton Town

Swindon
1 - 2
Northampton

Williams (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fox (68'), Pinnock (88')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Swindon
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two

Northampton Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, September 24 at 2pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNorthampton Town
44% (0.083000000000006 0.08)26.66% (0.023 0.02)29.34% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 50.06% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.42% (-0.133 -0.13)54.58% (0.135 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-0.109 -0.11)75.92% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)24.65% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)59.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)33.55% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (-0.161 -0.16)70.2% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 43.99%
    Northampton Town 29.34%
    Draw 26.65%
Swindon TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.58% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.99%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.34%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Swindon
5-2
Northampton
McKirdy (28', 51', 55', 66'), Simpson (60')
Hunt (49'), Kesler (88')
Hoskins (37'), Guthrie (50')
McWilliams (18'), Sowerby (34'), Koiki (62')
Sep 18, 2021 2pm
Northampton
1-1
Swindon
Horsfall (83')
Rose (43'), Sowerby (44'), Hoskins (68'), McWilliams (84')
Simpson (57')
Conroy (52')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Northampton
Twine (45+2'), Pitman (69')
Palmer (51'), Grounds (67')
Watson (26')
Mills (64'), Morris (75')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
2-1
Swindon
Missilou (7'), Rose (28')
Bolger (51'), Missilou (62'), Hoskins (86'), Smith (90+1')
Smith (76' pen.)
Jaiyesimi (65'), Grounds (81')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
0-1
Swindon

Goode (59'), Oliver (63'), Jones (68')
Lyden (77')
Doyle (70')