League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonny Williams 61' goal
  • goal Ben Fox 68'
  • goal Mitchell Pinnock 88'

Swindon Town vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
Grimsby Town 1 - 2 Swindon
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jonny Williams

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 24, 2022 2.00pm
Northampton 2 - 1 Stockport
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Swindon Town 44% (+0.09)
Draw 26.66% (+0.03)
Northampton Town 29.34% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.06% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.42% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 54.58% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 24.07% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 75.92% (+0.12)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.35% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 24.65% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.82% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 59.17% (+0.03)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.44% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 33.55% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 29.8% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 70.2% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 43.99%
Draw 26.65%
Northampton Town 29.34%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 11.58% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 8.11% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.79% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.27% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.65%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 9.03% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.34%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Harry McKirdy 28' goal
  • Rob Hunt 49' yellowcard
  • Harry McKirdy 51' goal
  • Harry McKirdy 55' goal
  • Tyreece Simpson 60' goal
  • Harry McKirdy 66' goal
  • Kaine Kesler 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 18'
  • yellowcard Jack Sowerby 34'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 37'
  • goal Jon Guthrie 50'
  • yellowcard Ali Koiki 62'
League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny Rose 43' yellowcard
  • Jack Sowerby 44' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 68' yellowcard
  • Fraser Horsfall 83' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dion Conroy 52'
  • goal Tyreece Simpson 57'
League One Gameweek 32
Feb 27, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Energy Check County Ground
  • Scott Twine 45'+2' goal
  • Matt Palmer 51' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Grounds 67' yellowcard
  • Brett Pitman 69' goal
  • goal Ryan Watson 26'
  • yellowcard Joseph Mills 64'
  • yellowcard Bryn Morris 75'
League One Gameweek 7
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
  • Christopher Missilou 7' goal
  • Danny Rose 28' goal
  • Cian Bolger 51' yellowcard
  • Christopher Missilou 62' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 86' yellowcard
  • Harry Smith 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diallang Jaiyesimi 65'
  • goal Tyler Smith 76'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Grounds 81'
League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Charlie Goode 59' yellowcard
  • Vadaine Oliver 63' yellowcard
  • Lloyd Jones 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eoin Doyle 70'
  • goal Jordan Lyden 77'
League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mathieu Baudry 4' yellowcard
  • Adam May 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Lines 54'
  • goal Andrew Williams 67'
  • yellowcard Jordan Turnbull 72'