League Two

League Two | Gameweek 11

Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
1 - 2
Swindon

Taylor (25')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Jephcott (13'), Darcy (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Swindon 1-3 Plymouth
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Swindon Town
29.7% ( -0.39)	27.76% ( 0.54)	42.54% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 47.08% (

-1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.52% (

-2.1)

58.48% (

2.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.93% (

-1.66)

79.07% (

1.66)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.65% (

-1.41)

35.35% (

1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.89% (

-1.49)

72.11% (

1.49)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82% (

-1.05)

27.18% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.41% (

-1.39)

62.59% (

1.39)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 29.7%

Swindon Town 42.53%

Draw 27.75%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.7%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.53%