Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Northampton Town in this match.