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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Northampton Town in this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Stockport County |
32.17% ( -5.48) | 25.71% ( -0.49) | 42.12% ( 5.96) |
Both teams to score 54.33% ( 0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.34% ( 1.38) | 49.66% ( -1.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.32% ( 1.22) | 71.68% ( -1.22) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.94% ( -2.66) | 29.06% ( 2.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.03% ( -3.42) | 64.97% ( 3.42) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.59% ( 3.83) | 23.41% ( -3.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.59% ( 5.27) | 57.4% ( -5.27) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 8.41% ( -1.17) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.75) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -1.18) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.58) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.69) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.17% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.77) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 1.09) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.78) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.84) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.31) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.42) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.4) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 39 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 79 | 37 | 42 | 73 |
2 | Stockport CountyStockport | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 75 | 40 | 35 | 71 |
3 | Wrexham | 39 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 70 | 48 | 22 | 70 |
4 | MK Dons | 40 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 67 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 67 | 55 | 12 | 65 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 64 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 59 |
8 | Gillingham | 40 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 59 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 40 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 58 |
10 | Walsall | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 56 |
11 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 55 |
12 | Morecambe | 39 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 54 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 54 |
14 | Notts County | 39 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 76 | 74 | 2 | 51 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 40 | 15 | 5 | 20 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 50 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 50 |
17 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 50 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 49 |
19 | Salford City | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 47 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 44 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 39 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 34 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 40 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 45 | 71 | -26 | 33 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
> League Two Full Table |