MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 23:53:19| >> :600:1738569:1738569:
Port Vale
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Vale Park
Stockport County

Port Vale
1 - 0
Stockport

Hussey (64')
McDermott (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Port Vale and Stockport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawStockport County
45.88% (-2.751 -2.75) 25.43% (0.688 0.69) 28.69% (2.067 2.07)
Both teams to score 53.47% (-0.651 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-1.575 -1.58)49.97% (1.579 1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-1.419 -1.42)71.95% (1.424 1.42)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.23% (-1.835 -1.84)21.77% (1.839 1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.03% (-2.877 -2.88)54.97% (2.882 2.88)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (0.75700000000001 0.76)31.64% (-0.752 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (0.862 0.86)68.05% (-0.85799999999999 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 45.88%
    Stockport County 28.69%
    Draw 25.42%
Port ValeDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 10.5% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.392 -0.39)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.407 -0.41)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.446 -0.45)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.267 -0.27)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.269 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 45.88%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.431 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.648 0.65)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.337 0.34)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.458 0.46)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.181 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.69%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2011 3pm
Port Vale
1-2
Stockport
Rigg (55')
Elding (20', 87')
Elding (57'), Goodall (65'), Wallace (90')
Nov 23, 2010 3pm
Stockport
0-6
Port Vale

Assoumani (43')
Rigg (23'), Richards (90'), Richards (44' pen., 62')
Feb 12, 2005 3pm
Stockport
1-2
Port Vale
Le Fondre (88')
Bridge-Wilkinson (21')
Paynter (52'), Lowndes (22')
Oct 23, 2004 3pm
Port Vale
0-0
Stockport

Walsh (45')

Adams (45')
rhs 2.0
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