EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Aug 30, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
1 - 0
Stockport

Hussey (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Port Vale and Stockport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

Last Six:

Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Lincoln City	6	-3	7
19	Port Vale	6	-3	7
20	Shrewsbury Town	6	-3	6

Stockport County

Last Six:

Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Harrogate Town	6	-3	7
19	Stockport County	6	-3	4
20	Colchester United	6	-5	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Stockport County
45.88% ( -2.75)	25.43% ( 0.69)	28.69% ( 2.07)

Both teams to score 53.47% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.03% (

-1.58)

49.97% (

1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.05% (

-1.42)

71.95% (

1.42)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.23% (

-1.84)

21.77% (

1.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.03% (

-2.88)

54.97% (

2.88)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.36% (

0.76)

31.64% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.95% (

0.86)

68.05% (

-0.86)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 45.88%

Stockport County 28.69%

Draw 25.42%

Port Vale	Draw	Stockport County
1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.41) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.27) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.36% Total : 45.88%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.65) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.46) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.69%