League One

League One | Gameweek 5

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
0 - 2
Port Vale

FT(HT: 0-0)

Garrity (49'), Harrison (90+1')

Coverage of the League One clash between Burton Albion and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

Last Six:

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Ipswich
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Morecambe	4	-4	2
23	Cheltenham Town	4	-4	1
24	Burton Albion	4	-8	1

Port Vale

Last Six:

Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Forest Green Rovers	3	0	4
18	Port Vale	4	-4	4
19	Oxford United	4	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Port Vale
22.57% ( -0.08)	26.48% ( 0.61)	50.95% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 45.12% (

-1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.78% (

-2.2)

58.23% (

2.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.13% (

-1.76)

78.87% (

1.76)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.59% (

-1.33)

41.42% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.08% (

-1.19)

77.93% (

1.2)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.02% (

-1.15)

22.98% (

1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.23% (

-1.72)

56.77% (

1.73)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 22.57%

Port Vale 50.95%

Draw 26.47%

Burton Albion	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.19% Total : 22.57%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 13.99% ( 0.68) 0-2 @ 10.29% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.65% Total : 50.95%