League One Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • goal Ben Garrity 49'
  • goal Ellis Harrison 90'+1'

Burton Albion vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Burton Albion 0 - 1 Ipswich
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Victor Adeboyejo

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
MK Dons 2 - 1 Port Vale
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ellis Harrison

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result

Burton Albion 22.57% (-0.08)
Draw 26.48% (+0.61)
Port Vale 50.95% (-0.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.12% (-1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.78% (-2.21)
Under 2.5 58.23% (+2.21)
Over 3.5 21.13% (-1.76)
Under 3.5 78.87% (+1.76)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 58.59% (-1.33)
Under 0.5 41.42% (+1.34)
Over 1.5 22.08% (-1.20)
Under 1.5 77.93% (+1.20)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 77.02% (-1.16)
Under 0.5 22.98% (+1.16)
Over 1.5 43.23% (-1.73)
Under 1.5 56.77% (+1.73)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 22.57%
Draw 26.47%
Port Vale 50.95%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 8.39% (+0.40)
2-1 @ 5.44% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 3.7% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.6% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 22.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 9.52% (+0.77)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.24)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.47%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 13.99% (+0.68)
0-2 @ 10.29% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.20)
0-3 @ 5.05% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 4.45% (-0.26)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.19)
0-4 @ 1.86% (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.16)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 50.95%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ryan Leak 23' goal
  • Conor Shaughnessy 88' yellowcard
  • goal Dennis Politic 79'
  • goal Dennis Politic 82'
EFL Cup Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • James Gibbons 43' yellowcard
  • Mark Cullen 53' goal
  • Richie Bennett 83' yellowcard
  • David Amoo 92' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Boyce 9'
  • goal Scott Fraser 62'
  • yellowcard Lucas Akins 79'
  • yellowcard Colin Daniel 91'
EFL Trophy Gameweek 5
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)
  • Mitchell Clark 63' yellowcard
  • Ricky Miller 65' goal
  • Ricky Miller 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damien McCrory 48'
League One
Mar 19, 2016 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Richard Duffy 45' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Akins 34'
  • goal Antony Grant 45' (OG)
  • goal Mark Duffy 50'
  • goal Calum Butcher 60'
League One
Oct 24, 2015 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tom Naylor 66' yellowcard
  • Robbie Weir 80' redcard
  • Tom Naylor 84' goal
  • Abdenasser El Khayati 90' goal
  • yellowcard Uche Ikpeazu 20'
  • redcard Uche Ikpeazu 26'
  • yellowcard Ryan McGivern 32'
  • yellowcard Richard Duffy 56'
  • yellowcard Louis Dodds 85'
  • yellowcard Michael O'Connor 87'
League Two
Apr 5, 2013 7.45pm
7
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Lee Hughes 12' goal
  • Lee Hughes 22' goal
  • Chris Birchall 25' goal
  • Lee Hughes 51' goal
  • Lee Hughes 51' yellowcard
  • Tom Pope 56' goal
  • Ben Williamson 73' goal
  • Ben Williamson 90' goal
  • yellowcard Damien McCrory 38'