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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%).
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 35.5% | 26.33% | 38.17% |
| Both teams to score 53.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.36% | 51.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.57% | 73.43% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% | 27.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.45% | 63.55% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% | 26.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% | 61.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 7.99% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.5% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 6.54% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.17% |