League Two

League Two | Gameweek 11

Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 1
Carlisle

Moriah-Welsh (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Whelan (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Carlisle United
43.46% ( -0.04)	26.2% ( -0.26)	30.34% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 51.98% (

0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.65% (

1.13)

52.35% (

-1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.96% (

0.96)

74.04% (

-0.97)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

0.48)

23.93% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.84% (

0.68)

58.16% (

-0.68)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.33% (

0.8)

31.67% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.92% (

0.91)

68.08% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

Newport County 43.45%

Carlisle United 30.34%

Draw 26.2%

Newport County	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.45%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.34%