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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcarlog.png)
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Nathan Moriah-Welsh
30'
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Corey Whelan
76'
Newport County vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result
Newport County
43.46%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
26.2%
▼
(-0.26)
Carlisle United
30.34%
▲
(+0.30)
Both Teams to Score:
51.98%
▲
(+0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.65%
▲
(+1.14)
Under 2.5
52.35%
▼
(-1.14)
Over 3.5
25.96%
▲
(+0.97)
Under 3.5
74.04%
▼
(-0.97)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
76.07%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 0.5
23.93%
▼
(-0.49)
Over 1.5
41.84%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 1.5
58.16%
▼
(-0.69)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5
68.33%
▲
(+0.80)
Under 0.5
31.67%
▼
(-0.80)
Over 1.5
31.92%
▲
(+0.91)
Under 1.5
68.08%
▼
(-0.91)
Score analysis
Newport County
43.45%
Draw
26.2%
Carlisle United
30.34%
Newport County
1-0
@
10.83%
▼
(-0.34)
2-1 @ 8.91% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.45%
2-1 @ 8.91% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.45%
Draw
1-1
@
12.46%
▼
(-0.11)
0-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.35)
2-2 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.2%
0-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.35)
2-2 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.2%
Carlisle United
0-1
@
8.72%
▼
(-0.21)
1-2 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.34%
1-2 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.34%
