EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Idehen (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Garner (46')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Carlisle United and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Doncaster Rovers	9	-1	14
13	Carlisle United	8	2	13
14	Tranmere Rovers	9	0	10

Fleetwood Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Peterborough United	9	4	12
11	Fleetwood Town	9	1	12
12	Shrewsbury Town	9	-1	12

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
38.59% ( 1.27)	25.19% ( 0.08)	36.22% ( -1.35)

Both teams to score 57.05% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.44% (

-0.41)

46.55% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.17% (

-0.38)

68.83% (

0.39)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17% (

0.49)

23.82% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42% (

0.7)

58% (

-0.7)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.89% (

-0.93)

25.11% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.19% (

-1.3)

59.81% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 38.59%

Fleetwood Town 36.22%

Draw 25.18%

Carlisle United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.59%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.78% Total : 36.22%