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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Newport County |
| 46.34% ( | 26.12% ( | 27.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.61% ( | 53.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% ( | 74.92% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% ( | 23.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.18% ( | 56.81% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% ( | 34.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.98% ( | 71.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% ( 2-1 @ 9.12% 2-0 @ 8.52% ( 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 46.34% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.88% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.54% |