EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
5 - 0
Leyton Orient

Mousinho (4'), Brannagan (45+3'), Joseph (57'), Findlay (66'), Taylor (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sotiriou (70')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Oxford United and Leyton Orient.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

Last Six:

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Barnsley	6	-1	7
17	Oxford United	6	-1	7
18	Lincoln City	6	-3	7

Leyton Orient

Last Six:

Last Game: Leyton Orient 4-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Leyton Orient	6	8	16
2	Barrow	6	4	15
3	Doncaster Rovers	6	4	14

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Leyton Orient
46.82% ( -0.03)	25.07% ( -0)	28.11% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 54.22% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.19% (

0.04)

48.81% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09% (

0.03)

70.91% (

-0.04)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.12%

20.88% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.42% (

53.58% (

-0)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.53% (

0.05)

31.47% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.15% (

0.05)

67.85% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 46.82%

Leyton Orient 28.11%

Draw 25.06%

Oxford United	Draw	Leyton Orient
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.87% 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 46.82%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.11%