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Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Colchester United

Swindon
1 - 0
Colchester

Shade (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Colchester (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
56.67% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)24.14%19.2% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 47.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (0.002999999999993 0)53.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.0040000000000013 0)74.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.98%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.14% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.56% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 56.66%
    Colchester United 19.2%
    Draw 24.13%
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 13.2%
2-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.36%
4-0 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 19.2%

How you voted: Swindon vs Colchester

Swindon Town
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Colchester United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Swindon
0-0
Colchester

Conroy (9')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Norris (74'), Robinson (85', 89')
Comley (35')
Jaiyesimi (48')
Edmonds-Green (70'), Hunt (73'), Baudry (88')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Swindon
0-3
Colchester

Baudry (24'), Iandolo (70')
Eastman (45'), Robinson (55', 75')
Wiredu (18')
rhs 2.0


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