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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Colchester United

Swindon
1 - 0
Colchester

Shade (64')
Gladwin (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Marshall-Miranda (37'), Tchamadeu (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Colchester (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Colchester United

 Colchester have looked much better on two fronts since the arrival of their new manager, and a first win under Matt Bloomfield in the league last week will have done wonders for their confidence. Swindon will go into the game as favourites but may not know what to expect from a side under new management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
56.67% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 24.14%19.2% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 47.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (0.002999999999993 0)53.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.0040000000000013 0)74.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.98%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.14% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.56% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 56.66%
    Colchester United 19.2%
    Draw 24.13%
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 13.2%
2-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.36%
4-0 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 19.2%

How you voted: Swindon vs Colchester

Swindon Town
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Colchester United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Swindon
0-0
Colchester

Conroy (9')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Norris (74'), Robinson (85', 89')
Comley (35')
Jaiyesimi (48')
Edmonds-Green (70'), Hunt (73'), Baudry (88')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Swindon
0-3
Colchester

Baudry (24'), Iandolo (70')
Eastman (45'), Robinson (55', 75')
Wiredu (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
23Sutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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