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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 35.2% ( | 28.02% ( | 36.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.66% | 58.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.05% | 78.95% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( | 31.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.21% ( | 67.8% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.58% ( | 30.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.38% ( | 66.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 2-0 @ 6.4% ( 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 3-2 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 11.37% 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0-2 @ 6.77% ( 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.78% |