League Two | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
We said: Stevenage 2-1 Sutton United
With Stevenage third in the league and yet to drop a point at the Lamex Stadium this season, we have this one as a narrow victory for the home side.
Sutton will cause the Boro some problems, and have shown they can beat the division's better teams, winning against sixth-placed Barrow and seventh-placed Mansfield, but will just about come up short here.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 47.26% . A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.61% .
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.88%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%) , while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (9.07%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result Stevenage Draw Sutton United 47.26% ( -1.1) 27.12% ( 0.51) 25.61% ( 0.59)
Both teams to score 46.25% ( -0.89)
41.74% ( -1.4) 58.26% ( 1.4)
21.11% ( -1.11) 78.89% ( 1.11)
75.31% ( -1.13) 24.69% ( 1.13)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.77% ( -1.61) 59.23% ( 1.61)
61.41% ( -0.25) 38.59% ( 0.25)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.67% ( -0.24) 75.33% ( 0.24)
Stevenage 47.26%
Sutton United 25.61%
Draw 27.12%
Stevenage Draw Sutton United 1-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.33% Total : 47.26% 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.12% 0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.55% Total : 25.61%
How you voted: Stevenage vs Sutton
Stevenage
Draw
Sutton United
24
rhs 2.0
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