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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Sutton United

Stevenage
3 - 0
Sutton

Sweeney (28'), Norris (48', 70')
Sweeney (64'), Gilbey (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Eastmond (24'), Milsom (52'), Barden (67'), John (74'), Thomas (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Sutton United

With Stevenage third in the league and yet to drop a point at the Lamex Stadium this season, we have this one as a narrow victory for the home side. Sutton will cause the Boro some problems, and have shown they can beat the division's better teams, winning against sixth-placed Barrow and seventh-placed Mansfield, but will just about come up short here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 47.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawSutton United
47.26% (-1.102 -1.1) 27.12% (0.507 0.51) 25.61% (0.595 0.59)
Both teams to score 46.25% (-0.886 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (-1.402 -1.4)58.26% (1.403 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (-1.111 -1.11)78.89% (1.111 1.11)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-1.131 -1.13)24.69% (1.132 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77% (-1.609 -1.61)59.23% (1.61 1.61)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41% (-0.25 -0.25)38.59% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.67% (-0.238 -0.24)75.33% (0.239 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 47.26%
    Sutton United 25.61%
    Draw 27.12%
StevenageDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 13.32% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 47.26%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 9.53% (0.497 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.413 0.41)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Sutton

Stevenage
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
Sutton United
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Stevenage
3-3
Sutton
Norris (34'), Reid (39', 64')
Prosser (55')
Smith (58'), Milsom (66' pen.), Bennett (90+8')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Sutton
0-0
Stevenage
Sutton win 4-3 on penalties

Eastmond (90+8')

Lines (33'), Vancooten (38'), Marshall (81'), Taylor (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Sutton
2-1
Stevenage
Bennett (58', 63' pen.)
John (38'), Kizzi (89')
List (55')
Taylor (47'), Coker (90+4')
Vancooten (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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