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Championship header 2

League Two

Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Sutton United

Gillingham
1 - 0
Sutton

MacDonald (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Gillingham
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawSutton United
30.36% (0.159 0.16)27.69% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)41.95% (-0.127 -0.13)
Both teams to score 47.54% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.97% (0.15199999999999 0.15)58.02% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.29% (0.119 0.12)78.71% (-0.114 -0.11)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39% (0.199 0.2)34.61% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.66% (0.209 0.21)71.33% (-0.206 -0.21)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.28% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)62.72%
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 30.35%
    Sutton United 41.95%
    Draw 27.68%
GillinghamDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.9% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.32% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.44% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 30.35%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 9.44% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 12.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.97% (-0.044999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.95%