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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Gillingham |
| 40.18% ( | 29.29% ( | 30.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.6% ( | 63.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.25% ( | 82.75% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.09% ( | 30.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.81% ( | 67.19% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.61% ( | 37.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.83% ( | 74.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 13.56% ( 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 4-1 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.29% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.55% ( 2-2 @ 3.86% ( Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.28% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 2-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.52% |