Morecambe
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Hartlepool United

Morecambe
0 - 0
Hartlepool

FT
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Morecambe and Hartlepool United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawHartlepool United
42.24% (0.395 0.39)25.49% (-0.319 -0.32)32.26% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.08% (1.023 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.29% (1.338 1.34)48.7% (-1.344 -1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.18% (1.205 1.21)70.81% (-1.211 -1.21)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (0.779 0.78)22.94% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (1.138 1.14)56.71% (-1.145 -1.15)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47% (0.607 0.61)28.52% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69% (0.76000000000001 0.76)64.3% (-0.767 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 42.24%
    Hartlepool United 32.26%
    Draw 25.49%
MorecambeDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.135 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 42.24%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 6.54% (-0.369 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.141 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.316 -0.32)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.26%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Hartlepool

Morecambe
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
Hartlepool United
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Hartlepool
2-2
Morecambe
Hartlepool win 4-2 on penalties
Daly (8', 83')
Smith (2'), Ogle (39'), Odusina (50'), Fondop (79')
McLoughlin (33'), Jones (40' pen.)
Price (63')
Nov 4, 2017 3pm
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Dec 30, 2016 7.45pm
Hartlepool
3-2
Morecambe
Amond (10'), Paynter (14' pen.), Featherstone (24')
Woods (35'), Nsiala (62')
Fleming (52'), Edwards (95')
Winnard (26')
Apr 9, 2016 3pm
Morecambe
2-5
Hartlepool
Kenyon (25'), Barkhuizen (87')
Molyneux (45'), Barkhuizen (52')
Roche (74')
Woods (4'), Thomas (6', 50'), James (76' pen.), Oates (89')
Carroll (20'), James (77')