League One

League One | Gameweek 10

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
1 - 2
Morecambe

Wickham (30')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Phillips (44'), Rawson (90+3')

Coverage of the League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Forest Green
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Cheltenham Town	8	-3	8
20	Forest Green Rovers	8	-9	8
21	Accrington Stanley	8	-3	7

Morecambe

Last Six:

Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	MK Dons	8	-3	7
23	Morecambe	8	-11	4
24	Burton Albion	8	-14	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Morecambe
59.36% ( 2.51)	22.97% ( -0.41)	17.67% ( -2.1)

Both teams to score 47.84% (

-2.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.15% (

-1.3)

50.85% (

1.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.27% (

-1.15)

72.73% (

1.15)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.21% (

0.42)

16.79% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.25% (

0.75)

46.75% (

-0.75)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.5% (

-3.16)

42.5% (

3.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.13% (

-2.82)

78.87% (

2.82)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 59.36%

Morecambe 17.67%

Draw 22.96%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.82) 2-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.88) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 59.36%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.4) Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.96%	0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.52) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.78% Total : 17.67%