League One Gameweek 4
Sep 6, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The New Lawn
  • Reece Brown 37' goal
  • Josh March 81' goal
  • goal Tommy Leigh 76'

Forest Green Rovers vs Accrington Stanley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
Forest Green 0 - 2 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Connor Wickham

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
Accrington 0 - 2 Ipswich
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Tommy Leigh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result

Forest Green Rovers 52.32% (-0.02)
Draw 24.65% (+0.01)
Accrington Stanley 23.04% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.8% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.97% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 51.03% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 27.11% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 72.89% (+0.02)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 80.52% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 19.48% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 48.66% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.34% (+0.03)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 63.09% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.91% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 26.3% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 73.7% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Forest Green Rovers 52.32%
Draw 24.65%
Accrington Stanley 23.04%
Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.76% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.25% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 52.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.19% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.65%
Accrington Stanley
0-1 @ 7.17% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.84% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 23.04%

Head to Head

League Two
Mar 17, 2018 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Callum Johnson 3' goal
  • Jordan Clark 82' goal
  • Kayden Jackson 90' goal
  • goal Reuben Reid 65'
League Two
Sep 30, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Seamus Conneely 56'
  • yellowcard Jordan Thorniley 70'