League One

League One | Gameweek 4

Sep 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
2 - 1
Accrington

Brown (37'), March (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Leigh (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Morecambe	7	-8	4
23	Forest Green Rovers	6	-10	4
24	Burton Albion	7	-12	1

Accrington Stanley

Last Six:

Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Port Vale	7	-3	8
18	Accrington Stanley	6	-1	7
19	MK Dons	7	-1	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Accrington Stanley
52.32% ( -0.02)	24.65% ( 0.01)	23.04% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.8% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.97% (

-0.02)

51.03% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.11% (

-0.01)

72.89% (

0.01)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52% (

-0.01)

19.48% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.66% (

-0.02)

51.34% (

0.02)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.09% (

36.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.3% (

73.7% (

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 52.32%

Accrington Stanley 23.04%

Draw 24.65%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 52.32%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.74% Total : 23.04%