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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Morecambe

Bristol Rovers
2 - 2
Morecambe

Loft (29'), Thomas (80')
Thomas (90+1'), McCormick (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Weir (12'), Phillips (53')
Gibson (16')
Coverage of the League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Morecambe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawMorecambe
56.66% (-2.826 -2.83)23.14% (0.468 0.47)20.2% (2.358 2.36)
Both teams to score 51.58% (2.55 2.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.93% (1.354 1.35)48.07% (-1.352 -1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.76% (1.229 1.23)70.24% (-1.227 -1.23)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25% (-0.5 -0.5)16.75% (0.502 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.32% (-0.903 -0.9)46.68% (0.905 0.91)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95% (3.416 3.42)38.05% (-3.416 -3.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19% (3.154 3.15)74.81% (-3.152 -3.15)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 56.65%
    Morecambe 20.2%
    Draw 23.14%
Bristol RoversDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.86 -0.86)
2-0 @ 10.17% (-0.95 -0.95)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.06% (-0.678 -0.68)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.218 0.22)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.355 -0.36)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.078 0.08)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.145 -0.15)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 56.65%
1-1 @ 11% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.364 -0.36)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.439 0.44)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.227 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.32% (0.572 0.57)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.365 0.37)
1-3 @ 1.71% (0.321 0.32)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.265 0.27)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.193 0.19)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 20.2%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Morecambe
Gaffney (68'), Bodin (78')
Brown (58')
Devitt (12' pen.)
Fleming (80')
Oct 3, 2015 3pm
Morecambe
3-4
Bristol Rovers
Miller (43'), Barkhuizen (60'), Mullin (87' pen.)
Fleming (96')
Mansell (28'), Bodin (47'), Taylor (58'), Harrison (80' pen.)
Nicholls (92')
Mar 29, 2014 3pm
Dec 14, 2013 3pm
Morecambe
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Amond (57'), Redshaw (87')
Drummond (44'), Wright (49'), Hughes (60'), Redshaw (88')
O'Toole (30')
Harrold (46'), Clarke (66'), Parkes (89'), Lockyer (91')
Feb 23, 2013 3pm