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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 10
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Mansfield Town

Gillingham
0 - 2
Mansfield

FT(HT: 0-2)
Akins (17'), Lapslie (33')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Mansfield Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawMansfield Town
19.38% (-1.396 -1.4)25.27% (-0.886 -0.89)55.35% (2.288 2.29)
Both teams to score 44.25% (0.405 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83% (1.581 1.58)57.18% (-1.576 -1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (1.246 1.25)78.04% (-1.242 -1.24)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.79% (-0.626 -0.63)44.21% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71% (-0.514 -0.51)80.29% (0.51900000000001 0.52)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (1.602 1.6)20.68% (-1.596 -1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72% (2.46 2.46)53.28% (-2.454 -2.45)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 19.38%
    Mansfield Town 55.34%
    Draw 25.27%
GillinghamDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 7.46% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-1 @ 4.8% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-0 @ 3.05% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-1 @ 1.31% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 19.38%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-0 @ 9.14% (-0.566 -0.57)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 14.4% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 11.35% (0.41 0.41)
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.176 0.18)
0-3 @ 5.96% (0.486 0.49)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.318 0.32)
0-4 @ 2.35% (0.293 0.29)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.097 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.21 0.21)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 55.34%

rhs 2.0


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