Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 72.22%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 3-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Manchester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
72.22% ( -0.07)	16.31% ( 0.01)	11.47% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 54.39% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.93% (

0.13)

34.07% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.05% (

0.14)

55.94% (

-0.14)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.76% (

0.02)

8.23% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.2% (

0.04)

28.8% (

-0.04)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.27% (

0.19)

40.72% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.69% (

0.17)

77.31% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 72.22%

Manchester City Under-21s 11.47%

Draw 16.31%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
2-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 72.22%	1-1 @ 7.52% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.31%	1-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 11.47%