Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 57.48%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 21.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 57.48% | 21.2% | 21.32% |
| Both teams to score 59.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.14% | 37.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.88% | 60.11% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.98% | 13.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.44% | 39.56% |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% | 31.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% | 67.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 8.42% 1-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 6.68% 3-0 @ 5.72% 3-2 @ 3.9% 4-1 @ 3.41% 4-0 @ 2.92% 4-2 @ 1.99% 5-1 @ 1.39% 5-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.78% Total : 57.48% | 1-1 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 4.05% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.2% | 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-1 @ 4.73% 0-2 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.71% Total : 21.32% |


