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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Salford City |
| 41.29% ( | 28.01% ( | 30.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.94% ( | 59.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.49% ( | 79.52% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% ( | 28.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.18% ( | 63.82% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% ( | 34.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.36% ( | 71.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 41.28% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 2-2 @ 4.37% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 28% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 30.69% |