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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Salford City

Sutton
1 - 2
Salford City

Neufville (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lund (80'), Watson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Sutton
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 0-0 Accrington
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawSalford City
41.29% (0.172 0.17)28.01% (-0.035 -0.04)30.7% (-0.138 -0.14)
Both teams to score 46.78% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (0.087000000000003 0.09)59.06% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (0.068000000000001 0.07)79.52% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (0.13800000000001 0.14)28.14% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (0.174 0.17)63.82% (-0.177 -0.18)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)34.91% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)71.65% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 41.28%
    Salford City 30.69%
    Draw 28%
Sutton UnitedDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 41.28%
1-1 @ 13.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.82% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 10.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.44% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 30.69%

How you voted: Sutton vs Salford City

Sutton United
58.6%
Draw
34.5%
Salford City
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Salford City
0-0
Sutton

McAleny (42'), Lowe (61'), Elliott (90+3')

Davis (62')
Mar 5, 2019 7.45pm
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0


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