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Championship header 2

League Two

Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Harrogate Town

Colchester
2 - 1
Harrogate

Appiah (8'), Nouble (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pattison (57')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Charlton
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Everton U21s (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 4 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
49.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)26.3%24.45% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.87% (0.012 0.01)56.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)77.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)22.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)56.58% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.56% (0.019999999999996 0.02)38.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.81% (0.016999999999999 0.02)75.19% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 49.24%
    Harrogate Town 24.45%
    Draw 26.3%
Colchester UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 49.24%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 8.78% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 8.4%
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 24.45%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Harrogate
1-2
Colchester
Muldoon (4')
Sears (21'), Chilvers (45')
Tchamadeu (21'), Chilvers (53'), Coxe (78')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Colchester
1-0
Harrogate
Jasper (88')
Chambers (57')

Hall (37'), Thomson (60')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Harrogate
3-0
Colchester
Beck (1'), Smith (45+1'), McPake (56')
Falkingham (78'), Martin (82')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Colchester
2-1
Harrogate
Harriott (52'), Stevenson (54')
Brown (40'), Stevenson (90+2')
Stead (61')
rhs 2.0


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