Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 47.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.