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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Rochdale |
| 52.01% ( | 25.79% ( | 22.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.88% | 56.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.81% | 77.19% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% | 21.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% | 54.76% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.42% ( | 40.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.82% ( | 77.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% 2-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.07% Total : 52% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 7.92% 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0-2 @ 3.57% 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.28% Total : 22.21% |