EFL Trophy
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Omar Bogle 11' goal
  • James Waite 60' goal
  • goal Sam Bellis 76'

Newport County vs Southampton Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
Newport 1 - 2 Forest Green

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 4, 2022 7.00pm
Exeter 2 - 1 Saints U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 12.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Southampton Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result

Newport County 69.36% (-0.01)
Draw 18.56% (+0.01)
Southampton Under-21s 12.09%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.1% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.77%
Under 2.5 43.23% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 34.37%
Under 3.5 65.63% (-0.01)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 88.67% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 11.33%
Over 1.5 64%
Under 1.5 36% (-0.01)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 54.24% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 45.76% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 18.47% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 81.54% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Newport County 69.36%
Draw 18.56%
Southampton Under-21s 12.09%
Newport County
2-0 @ 12.29%
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 8.93%
3-1 @ 6.98%
4-0 @ 4.86%
4-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.73%
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.65%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 69.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.83%
0-0 @ 5.18%
2-2 @ 3.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 18.56%
Southampton Under-21s
0-1 @ 4.05%
1-2 @ 3.45%
0-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3%
Total : 12.09%