Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 8, 2022 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Staplewood Training Ground
  • Kami Doyle 12' goal
  • Luke Pearce 36' goal

Southampton Under-21s vs Aston Villa Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Sep 16, 2022 7.00pm
Leeds U21s 6 - 2 Saints U21s
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Dominic Ballard

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Sep 30, 2022 7.00pm
Aston Villa U21s 2 - 6 WBA U21s
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Brad Young

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 3-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Southampton Under-21s 49.39% (-0.25)
Draw 20.37% (-0.14)
Aston Villa Under-21s 30.24% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

72.95% (+0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 75% (+0.94)
Under 2.5 24.99% (-0.94)
Over 3.5 55.09% (+1.22)
Under 3.5 44.91% (-1.22)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 89.01% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 10.99% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 64.74% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 35.25% (-0.58)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 81.95% (+0.68)
Under 0.5 18.04% (-0.68)
Over 1.5 51.05% (+1.15)
Under 1.5 48.94% (-1.15)

Score analysis

Southampton Under-21s 49.39%
Draw 20.37%
Aston Villa Under-21s 30.24%
Southampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 5.22% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.20)
1-0 @ 4.38% (-0.23)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 3.36% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.88% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.04)
4-3 @ 1.64% (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.49% (+0.03)
5-2 @ 1.27% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 49.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.5% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 7.09% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 2.98% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 1.98% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 20.37%
Aston Villa Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 4.05% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.66% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 3.4% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.73% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (+0.06)
3-4 @ 1.28% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 30.24%