Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 8, 2022 at 12pm UK
Staplewood Training Ground

Saints U21s
2 - 0
Aston Villa U21s

Doyle (12'), Pearce (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Southampton Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Saints U21s
Tuesday, October 4 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Portsmouth 5-0 Aston Villa U21s
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 3-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Southampton Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
49.39% (-0.25 -0.25)20.37% (-0.137 -0.14)30.24% (0.391 0.39)
Both teams to score 72.95% (0.81699999999999 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75% (0.937 0.94)24.99% (-0.934 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.09% (1.214 1.21)44.91% (-1.211 -1.21)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.01% (0.265 0.27)10.99% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.74% (0.57899999999999 0.58)35.25% (-0.575 -0.58)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (0.679 0.68)18.04% (-0.675 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.05% (1.144 1.14)48.94% (-1.142 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    Southampton Under-21s 49.39%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 30.24%
    Draw 20.37%
Southampton Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 5.22% (0.079 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-0 @ 4.38% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.88% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.64% (0.076 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.022 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.27% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 7.5% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-2 @ 7.09% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.98% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 1.98% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 20.37%
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.05% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.056 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.4% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.058 0.06)
3-4 @ 1.28% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 30.24%