Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 68.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 14.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 3-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
68.33% ( -0.75)	17.52% ( 0.15)	14.15% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 58.32% (

1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.93% (

0.74)

33.06% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.2% (

0.84)

54.79% (

-0.84)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.16% (

0.02)

8.83% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.73% (

0.06)

30.26% (

-0.06)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.96% (

1.31)

36.03% (

-1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.19% (

1.32)

72.81% (

-1.32)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 68.33%

Aston Villa Under-21s 14.15%

Draw 17.52%

Portsmouth	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 68.33%	1-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.52%	1-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.19% Total : 14.15%