EFL Trophy
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Ronan Curtis
2'
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Michael Jacobs
7'
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Josh Koroma
53'
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Josh Koroma
63'
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Recco Hackett-Fairchild
69'
Portsmouth vs Aston Villa Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 68.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 14.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 3-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result
Portsmouth
68.33%
▼
(-0.75)
Draw
17.52%
▲
(+0.15)
Aston Villa Under-21s
14.15%
▲
(+0.60)
Both Teams to Score:
58.32%
▲
(+1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.93%
▲
(+0.74)
Under 2.5
33.06%
▼
(-0.74)
Over 3.5
45.2%
▲
(+0.85)
Under 3.5
54.79%
▼
(-0.85)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5
91.16%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
8.83%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
69.73%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
30.26%
▼
(-0.07)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5
63.96%
▲
(+1.32)
Under 0.5
36.03%
▼
(-1.32)
Over 1.5
27.19%
▲
(+1.32)
Under 1.5
72.81%
▼
(-1.32)
Score analysis
Portsmouth
68.33%
Draw
17.52%
Aston Villa Under-21s
14.15%
Portsmouth
2-1
@
9.57%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.35)
3-1 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.30)
3-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.28)
4-1 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.15)
4-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.09)
5-1 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.08)
5-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 5.04%
Total : 68.33%
2-0 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.35)
3-1 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.30)
3-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.28)
4-1 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.15)
4-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.09)
5-1 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.08)
5-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 5.04%
Total : 68.33%
Draw
1-1
@
7.88%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.52%
2-2 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.52%
Aston Villa Under-21s
1-2
@
4.02%
▲
(+0.14)
0-1 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 14.15%
0-1 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 14.15%