EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Portsmouth5 - 0Aston Villa U21s
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Portsmouth and Aston Villa Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 2-6 WBA U21s
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 68.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 14.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 3-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
68.33% ( -0.75) | 17.52% ( 0.15) | 14.15% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 58.32% ( 1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
