League One

League One | Gameweek 9

Sep 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
0 - 2
Portsmouth

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hughes (59' og.), Bishop (87')

Coverage of the League One clash between Burton Albion and Portsmouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

Last Six:

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Cheltenham Town	7	-4	5
23	Morecambe	7	-8	4
24	Burton Albion	7	-12	1

Portsmouth

Last Six:

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Peterborough
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ipswich Town	7	10	17
2	Portsmouth	7	9	17
3	Plymouth Argyle	7	4	15

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Portsmouth
20.48% ( -0.57)	23.14% ( -0.09)	56.38% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 52.04% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.32% (

-0.34)

47.67% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.13% (

-0.32)

69.87% (

0.31)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.48% (

-0.77)

37.52% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.7% (

-0.77)

74.3% (

0.76)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.29% (

0.11)

16.71% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.39% (

0.19)

46.61% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 20.48%

Portsmouth 56.37%

Draw 23.13%

Burton Albion	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.61% Total : 20.48%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.13%	0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.03% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 56.37%