League One

League One | Gameweek 7

Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Brannagan (48'), Joseph (71')
Findlay (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Adeboyejo (77')
Hughes (58'), Brayford (60')

Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Burton Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

Last Six:

Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Barnsley	6	-1	7
17	Oxford United	6	-1	7
18	Lincoln City	6	-3	7

Burton Albion

Last Six:

Last Game: Burton Albion 4-2 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Forest Green Rovers	5	-8	4
23	Morecambe	6	-8	3
24	Burton Albion	6	-11	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Burton Albion
60.66% ( -0.29)	21.21% ( -0.2)	18.14% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 54.31% (

1.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.34% (

1.75)

42.66% (

-1.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.93% (

1.72)

65.07% (

-1.72)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.38% (

0.48)

13.62% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.23% (

0.94)

40.77% (

-0.94)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.87% (

1.62)

37.13% (

-1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.09% (

1.57)

73.91% (

-1.56)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 60.65%

Burton Albion 18.14%

Draw 21.21%

Oxford United	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.61) 2-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.44) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.09% Total : 60.65%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.21%	0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.43% Total : 18.14%